2007 Florida Marlins Predictions

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The 2007 Marlins have a chance to improve 5-10 games in my book which will be a great success for this team, but likely only good enough for fourth place in the division. It was supposed to be Dontrelle Willis and a bunch of inexperienced youngsters struggling on the mound in 2006. But Sanchez, Johnson, and Olsen all surprised. Sanchez showed some magic when he threw the first no-hitter in the bigs in 28 months, and Johnson nearly won an ERA title before suffering September injury. And Olsen won 12 games as a rookie despite a very slow start. These guys should all improve and that’s why we think winning 10 more games in 2007 is attainable.

When we speak about the offense, we have to start with Miguel Cabrera. His 26 homeruns and 114 RBI’s in 2006 just scraped the top of the ice berg as to what this guy can do. There was nothing ugly about Dan Uggla at the plate last season. His 27 homeruns led the Marlins and his 90 RBI’s were second on the team. Lead off hitter Hanley Ramirez is a guy with a huge upside who should only get better. His 74 extra base hits by a 50 stolen base man was good for third all-time behind Ty Cobb and Tris Speaker. In other words, it was the most in about 100 years. This guy could be like an Alfonso Soriano in a few years if his power continues to blossom. With that being said, the Marlins are still a few years away from developing the players that the Mets have to fill their lineup.

Surprisingly, the Marlins were the second best home team in the NL East in 2006, and I expect solid home play to continue. The expectations are not high for this team so I anticipate us finding good value in backing the fish at home against the teams picked to finish ahead of them in the division such as New York, Philadelphia, and Atlanta.

There is no pressure on this team to win as far as management is concerned as it s gearing toward 2008, but I think Florida will be ahead of schedule in 2007 because of the surprising ability of their young pitchers. The perception of the Marlins will be that they are still a bad team in 2007 despite earning their backers money last year. We will take advantage by jumping all over the fish in key spots when they are showing great value as an underdog. Fish fans shouldn’t fry in 2007 as it looks like it will shape up to be another profitable year.

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