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2008 All-State 400 Predictions

NASCAR takes over Indy racing's cathedral this weekend and Jimmy Boyd has you covered with his 2008 Allstate 400 odds and predictions.

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Only the best of the best have what it takes to win at the Brickyard. Of the 14 NASCAR races there, only two have been won by a driver who does not have a NASCAR Cup Series Championship. Six times, the driver who won at Indy kept right on rolling to the NASCAR Cup Series title. In other words, you better pucker up nice and kiss those lucky bricks will all you've got as it apparently means something.

Kyle Busch is the 6-1 favorite at Sportsbook.com and it looks like he's going to win the championship. His season is closely resembling Jeff Gordon's dominant 1998 season. He has also run well at the Brickyard with 10th, 7th, and 4th place finishes on racing's hollowed ground.

Jeff Gordon is getting great value at 15-1 odds. Gordon won the inaugural Brickyard 400 and has won three more since. No one else comes close to his four career wins here. He can never be counted out in this race.

Tony Stewart is a cup champ and is the defending champ of this race. With two Brickyard wins, he is tied with Dale Jarrett for second most. There's some cause for concern surrounding Stewarts off the track issues, but he looked good in Chicago two weeks ago and is famous for his late runs. Stewart is from Indiana and winning this race means more to him than perhaps any of the drivers.

Jimmie Johnson is the guy that I think the rest of the field is going to have to beat. After all, he fits the race criteria best. He is a two-time Cup champ and won at Indy in 2006. He has only one win this season, but he has ran better than that indicates. At 7-1 odds, he is a strong option. There are also strong correlations between this race track and the Pocono track. I love knowing that Johnson and Kasey Kahne are bringing the same chassis that they led the most laps with at Pocono in June.

Kahne was dominant at Pocono, taking his second win of the season. He's cooled off a bit since, but the tracks have been very diverse. A return to a fast track should get Kahne back in the mix.

Brian Vickers' Toyota ran very well at Pocono also. He likely would have won the race but Kahne had fresher tires. With odds in the 18-1 range, we'll take a long, hard look at him. He's been very close to winning several times this season and is a nice middle range bet.

It is definitely worth noting that In 2007, six of the top 11 finishers at June's Pocono race went on to finish in the top 11 at the Brickyard.

Juan Pablo Montoya is being undervalued at 50-1 odds, considering that he is an Indy 500 champ and has a 4th place finish at the Brickyard in the Formula Ones U.S. Grand Prix. With lots of experience on this track, he could pull off a major upset.

TOP 5 Finish Prediction:

1) #48 Jimmie Johnson 7-1

2) #20 Tony Stewart 7-1

3) #9 Kasey Kahne 7-1

4) #18 Kyle Busch 6-1

5) #83 Brian Vickers 18-1

Complete list of Allstate 400 odds by Sportsbook.com

AJ Allmendinger 100 - 1

Bobby Labonte 100 - 1

Brian Vickers 18 - 1

Carl Edwards 8 - 1

Casey Mears 100 - 1

Clint Bowyer 30 - 1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 12 - 1

Dave Blaney 100 - 1

David Gilliland 100 - 1

David Ragan 30 - 1

David Reutimann 100 - 1

Denny Hamlin 10 - 1

Elliott Sadler 60 - 1

Greg Biffle 15 - 1

Jamie McMurray 75 - 1

Jeff Burton 25 - 1

Jeff Gordon 15 - 1

Jimmie Johnson 7 - 1

Juan Pablo Montoya 50 - 1

Kasey Kahne 7 - 1

Kevin Harvick 20 - 1

Kurt Busch 40 - 1

Kyle Busch 6 - 1

Mark Martin 25 - 1

Martin Truex Jr 25 - 1

Matt Kenseth 10 - 1

Michael Waltrip 100 - 1

Paul Menard 100 - 1

Reed Sorenson 100 - 1

Ryan Newman 50 - 1

Sam Hornish Jr 100 - 1

Tony Stewart 7 - 1

Travis Kvapil 100 - 1

Field (Any Other Driver) 50 - 1

July 25th, 2008