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2008 Best Buy 400 Odds

Written by Jimmy Boyd

NASCAR finally leaves Charlotte and heads for the Dover International Speedway for the Best Buy 400 on the first Sunday in June. This mile-long 24 degree banking track has proved to be a bear for most of the drivers in the Series, but there are a few which has mastered it. Those drivers will be the focus as Jimmy Boyd weighs the field in this 2008 Best Buy 400 odds and predictions article.

Based on their current standing in NASCAR and their past history at Dover, Carl Edwards, Kyle Busch, and Jimmie Johnson will be among the guys to beat this week. The odds won’t be very favorable for any of those drivers because of that, and I won’t be surprised if any of the three takes the checkered flag.

Because the value is not there with the favorites, we need to look for reasons to justify taking some drivers who are showing better value this week. The reason we want to do this besides taking every opportunity to get more bang for our buck is that last season in the first race at Dover the top three all were 20-1 or higher longshots. Martin Truex Jr. won the race and paid out at a very valuable 40-1 odds. Ryan Newman closed with a 20-1 price finishing in the runner up spot and Carl Edwards took third at 24-1 odds. Edwards went on to win the fall race, but because of his showing the first time around, he was only a 10-1 buy.

It’s very likely that the same equation will take place this year so we will try to identify the possible candidates early so that we can be successful in both races. Edwards, Busch, and Johnson will no doubt be formidable opponents, but their may be an equalizer lying within this track.

Last season was the first that the Car of Tomorrow was used and the NASCAR world assumed that the Hendrick COT program would continue to roll at Dover as Hendrick drivers had won all five COT races up to that stage in the game. Because this track is different in its configuration that any other, it gave the Fords and Dodge’s a chance to catch up to Hendrick.

I like Kasey Kahne’s success to carry over this week after back-to-back wins at Charlotte. His team has obviously found something that works. Kyle Busch’s success at Atlanta makes him a strong candidate at a bad price. Truex is sure to get some action being the defending champ, but I think he’s a sucker bet as the other drivers will make the necessary adjustments going into this year’s COT races at Dover.

The two drivers which fit the criteria I’m looking for the best is Tony Stewart and Greg Biffle. Both have won before on this track and both have had arguably had the fastest cars on the track the last couple weeks. Stewart has multiple Cup wins at Dover and even sat on the pole there when he was racing Indy cars. Biffle has improved each of the last three weeks and looks to be getting close to a win.

It doesn’t look like we’ll be able to find quite the value that we saw with last year’s top finishers, but Stewart and Biffle gives us a little better bang for our buck.

Top 5 prediction:

1) #20 Tony Stewart 8-1
2) #16 Greg Biffle 10-1
3) #18 Kyle Busch 5-1
4) #9 Kasey Kahne 18-1
5) #48 Jimmie Johnson 8-1

Best Buy 400 odds:

Bobby Labonte 100 – 1

Brian Vickers 100 – 1

Carl Edwards 6 – 1

Casey Mears 100 – 1

Clint Bowyer 30 – 1

Dale Earnhardt Jr 8 – 1

Dave Blaney 100 – 1

David Gilliland 100 – 1

David Ragan 30 – 1

David Reutimann 100 – 1

Denny Hamlin 8 – 1

Elliott Sadler 60 – 1

Greg Biffle 10 – 1

Jamie McMurray 100 – 1

Jeff Burton 25 – 1

Jeff Gordon 12 – 1

Jimmie Johnson 8 – 1

Juan Pablo Montoya 100 – 1

Kasey Kahne 18 – 1

Kevin Harvick 30 – 1

Kurt Busch 35 – 1

Kyle Busch 5 – 1

Mark Martin 30 – 1

Martin Truex Jr 20 – 1

Matt Kenseth 10 – 1

Michael Waltrip 100 – 1

Paul Menard 100 – 1

Reed Sorenson 100 – 1

Ryan Newman 30 – 1

Sam Hornish Jr 100 – 1

Scott Riggs 100 – 1

Tony Stewart 8 – 1

Travis Kvapil 100 – 1

Field (Any Other Driver) 50 – 1

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