2008 Subway 500 Odds

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It’s time to get geared up for this Saturday night’s NASCAR race at Phoenix International Raceway. Jimmy Boyd weighs the Subway Fresh Fit 500 odds in this week’s racing preview. Find out who he thinks has the best chance to take the checkered flag.

We’ll use a little history to find our winner this week. As most NASCAR enthusiasts know, Phoenix, New Hampshire, and Richmond look nothing alike, but most of the drivers that have success on one of those tracks also do well on the other two. In most cases, successful teams have brought the same car to all three tracks and sometimes used the same car for all six races at those tracks.

Several drivers have had multiple wins and top five finishes on these three tracks during a season of late and history has shown us that there really isn’t much need to look for long shot drivers on these tracks once the foundation has been laid by the drivers which have had the most success.

Bettors have an advantage going into the first of six races on these three tracks. All they have to do is take a peak at last season. Unlike some of the tracks this year, where the Car of Tomorrow will run for the first time, the Car of Tomorrow ran a full schedule in all six of these particular races last season. Of those six races, Hendrick drivers Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon were the only ones to finish in the top 10 in every race. Johnson won three of those races and Gordon took one. Johnson’s average finish was an impressive third and Gordon was right behind him with a 3.8 average finish. After the Hendrick drivers, Denny Hamlin had the third best rate of success with a 7.3 average finish, and the fact that he is driving a Toyota this season hasn’t seemed to slow him down a bit.

In 2006, Kevin Harvick won five races. Of those five wins, four were on the three tracks we have been discussing. He won twice at Phoenix in that season. Last season, Harvick finished in the top 10 in five of the six races and this season Harvick is really emerging as one of the elite drivers in the cup race. Currently, he is second in points just behind teammate Jeff Burton. Harvick is yet to take a checkered flag, but he has been consistently good with two top five finishes. His worst finish this season was a respectable 14th at Daytona. I expect another solid performance out of Harvick this week.

Other drivers who have been solid on these three tracks are Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Matt Kenseth, Jeff Burton, and Tony Stewart.

Looking to last season will give us the best chance to nail the winner this week. I expect to see the same top drivers at these three tracks that excelled last season challenging once again. Last season’s top driver on these three tracks, Jimmie Johnson, is overdue for a win. I like him to use the same game plan as last season to come away with his first victory of the year. But note that whoever does win will lay the blueprint for the five other races.

Odds to win the Subway Fresh Fit 500 at BodogLife.com

Bill Elliott 150/1

Bobby Labonte 100/1

Brian Vickers 100/1

Carl Edwards 5/1

Casey Mears 50/1

Clint Bowyer 16/1

Dale Earnhardt Jr. 9/1

Dario Franchitti 200/1

Dave Blaney 150/1

David Gilliland 125/1

David Ragan 65/1

David Reutimann 100/1

Denny Hamlin 15/2

Elliott Sadler 100/1

Greg Biffle 14/1

J.J. Yeley 100/1

Jamie McMurray 50/1

Jeff Burton 16/1

Jeff Gordon 9/1

Jimmie Johnson 6/1

Joe Nemechek 200/1

John Andretti 200/1

Johnny Sauter 150/1

Juan Pablo Montoya 80/1

Kasey Kahne 30/1

Kevin Harvick 12/1

Kurt Busch 35/1

Kyle Busch 7/1

Kyle Petty 200/1

Mark Martin 50/1

Martin Truex Jr. 28/1

Matt Kenseth 9/1

Michael McDowell 200/1

Michael Waltrip 125/1

Mike Skinner 150/1

Patrick Carpentier 150/1

Paul Menard 100/1

Reed Sorenson 100/1

Regan Smith 150/1

Robby Gordon 125/1

Ryan Newman 30/1

Sam Hornish Jr. 100/1

Scott Riggs 100/1

Tony Stewart 8/1

Travis Kvapil 125/1

About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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