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Arkansas vs LSU Football Odds & Picks
This year’s LSU/ Arkansas game this Friday has lost much of it’s draw as both teams have been underwhelming in their performances this season. LSU hasn’t been bad, but they were considered National Title contenders before the season started, so the 7-4 record barely seems like a winning one. Arkansas has been dreadful, particularly in SEC play where the Razorbacks are just 1-6 this season. LSU should still hit a major non-BCS Bowl, but the year is certainly a disappointment for them. LSU is a 4.5 point favorite over Arkansas this week with the total set at 53 points.
LSU’s offense has put up respectable numbers this season, but nothing like the Florida’s and Oklahoma’s of the world. They average 30 points per game on a total of 379 yards of total offense. The Tigers aren’t overwhelming anyone through the air or on the ground. They are running for about 170 yards per game, while passing for just over 210 per contest. They aren’t bad numbers, but stacked up against the rest of the SEC they hardly seem competitive. The Tigers will still challenge Arkansas’ defense, though, which has been on of the worst in the conference.
The biggest surprise about LSU this season has been the defense, or, I should say, the lack of defense. The Tigers are currently allowing 25.5 points per game and over 320 yards of total offense. That’s not the LSU we’re used to seeing. The rush defense has been stout enough, allowing just over 100 yards per game, but the 216 passing yards per game are uncharacteristic of this squad. Luckily for LSU, this week they take on an Arkansas team that doesn’t have much to offer in offensive firepower. Bet on LSU -4.5 this Friday.
The Razorbacks haven’t been getting anything done on the offensive side of the ball this season. Their 21 points per game won’t cut it in the SEC. They are averaging 371 yards per game, which isn’t horrible, but they aren’t converting enough of those yards into points. The running game for Arkansas has been virtually non-existent. The Razorbacks are running for just over 110 yards per play on 32 attempts per game. That’s barely 3.5 yards per carry, which isn’t a very effective way to move the football. The passing offense has been good enough at 258 yards per game to get the Hogs past 4 opponents, but that’s about it.
Unfortunately for the Razorbacks, things only get worse on the defensive side of the ball. They are giving up over 30 points per game on over 380 yards of total offense. They haven’t been able to do anything to stop the run this season, allowing 172 yards per game for 4.5 yards per carry. That simply isn’t going to get it done against the kinds of offenses they’ve been up against in the SEC. LSU’s been down this year, but the Razorbacks will still have a hard time stopping them. After all, they haven’t really stopped anyone yet. Bet on Arkasas +4.5.
The bottom line here is that LSU is the better team. Arkansas can’t run the ball, they can’t stop anyone on defense and they’ve got no chance at a bowl game, so where’s there motivation? LSU needs a boost to their confidence, and they should get one over the Razorbacks on Friday.
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