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Army vs Navy Odds & Predictions

Written by Steve Janus

For the 109th time the Army Black Knights will face the Navy Midshipmen and will battle for the Commander in Chief’s Trophy. The Midshipmen have won the last 6 meetings in a row and now hold a 52-49-7 lead in the all-time series. As one of the longest standing rivalries, emotions are sure to be high for both squads, yet these are two teams that have had distinctly different years. Navy is enjoying a 7-4 season and has impressive wins over Rutgers and Wake Forest on their resume. Unfortunately for Army, they haven’t had nearly as much success. The Black Knights are just 3-8 this season and their only wins have come against Tulane, Eastern Michigan, and Louisiana Tech, who have a combined record of 12-24. Navy’s average win over Army in their past six meetings has been 28.2 points. The way things have shaped up, Army will have to play their best game of the year to avoid a similar outcome. Navy is currently an 11 point favorite over Army and the total has been set at 44.5 points.

Navy’s offense is one dimensional, but they run that one dimension to perfection. As one of the only teams left in college football that runs the option exclusively, the Midshipmen have managed to crank out 292 rushing yards per game and have turned those yards into just over 27 points per game. Teams certainly know what to expect out of this offense, but they haven’t been able to stop it. Navy has two running backs with over 800 yards on the season in Shun White and Eric Kettani. This week they will face an Army squad that has done relatively well against the run, then again, this certainly isn’t the best rush defense the Midshipmen have faced this year.

Defensively, the Midshipmen haven’t been as successful, but they have been very good at taking the ball away from opposing teams. On the season Navy is giving up a total of 358.9 yards per game and just over 23 points per game. They’ve struggled to stop the pass, giving up 230.5 yards through the air on average. What’s been impressive is that the Midshipmen have forced 27 turnovers in 11 games this year, which is no doubt why they’ve been able to come out on top so often with mediocre defensive performances. Bet Navy -10.5 here.

Army takes a similar approach to offense as Navy, running the ball on almost every play. So far the Black Knights are averaging 254 rushing yards per game, but they’ve only been able to translate that yardage into a dismal 16 points per contest. The Black Knights’ most important player comes out of the backfield. Collin Mooney has already rushed for nearly 1,300 yards on the season and has scored 8 touchdowns. Navy has not been especially successful in stopping the run, giving up 124 rushing yards per game on 3.7 yards per carry, but Army will need to find some way to put the ball in the end zone on Saturday, something they really haven’t been successful at this season.

The Black Knight’s defense has been pretty solid on the whole, they just haven’t been able to hold opponents to low enough scores for the offense to come out on top. On the season they are surrendering 331.3 yards of total offense and 22.7 point per game. So far they have done well against the run, limiting opposing backs to just 124.8 yards per game, but they have been fairly vulnerable against the pass. They won’t need to worry much about their secondary this week, however, as the Navy team they’ll face runs the ball on nearly every play of every possession. You can take Army +11 at Bookmaker.com!

Army has played pretty well as a whole this year, but they have been able to score any points on the offensive side of the ball. Navy has been extremely productive on offense with their option attack, but have shown significant weaknesses on defense. All in all, this should be a good match up, but Navy certainly has the edge.

Predicted Score: Navy 31, Army 16

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