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Baseball Betting Cold Streaks
Everyone who has
been around knows about baseball
betting cold streaks that
bettors face during the hot days of
summer. It may bankrupt the
sports bettor, or just make them
frustrated and keep them away from
betting on the sport at all.
Either way you would think the
sportsbook would be happy to see
them lose, but most of the time this
is not the case.
It's been a busy month for
online sportsbooks such as
Bodog.
There were the NBA and NHL finals.
The World Cup kicked off. The U.S.
Open also drew widespread betting
interest with the return of Tiger
Woods and the final hole choke by Phil Mickelson.
With all these high-profile
events going on about us, some
people will
forget baseball. It might not be the
nation's marquee sport - at least
until the playoff races heat up -
but it's always around, with 15
games on
most days just waiting to draw
action. That means plenty of
opportunity for smart bettors to
cash in.
This year however it's been
the bookmakers making the big bank
deposits in June. Only the 23rd of
the month stands out as a big loser
at the
Bodog Sportsbook.
"That was a really bad day for us," noted
one member of
Bodog Sportsbook's
management team. "Eleven out of 15
favorites covered, including the
heavily backed Yankees and White
Sox."
Granted, complaining about one "bad
day" might sound a bit greedy to
some - especially to those bettors
who got caught in the crosshairs of
one of the best baseball betting
months in recent memory for
sportsbooks. And besides being
greedy, it might also be misguided,
meaning a few more bad days might
actually have been preferable for
bookmakers in the long run.
"It's not all gravy when sportsbooks
go on a hot streak," the
Bodog book
manager added. "What's good in the
short term can often be bad in the
long term. Bettors get tired of
losing. Some might stop betting
altogether. Others might start
chasing losses, which can bleed an
account dry real quick. And when an
account empties out quickly, the
chances of it being filled up again
go down."
So we have asked for a list of how
bettors can handle their baseball
betting cold streaks:
Pick your spots: Just because you
lost yesterday doesn't mean you have
to bet today. You have an advantage
over the sportsbooks in that you
don't have to play every game so you
can pick your spots. There are
thousands of baseball games in a
season, each with any number of
betting options attached to them. If you
don't see an opportunity, don't bet.
Live to bet another day. It's that
easy, yet it's one of the hardest
rules to abide by in actual
practice.
Keep your bet sizes consistent: The
amount you wager should be related
to your confidence on the particular
play. It should not be related to
how much your bankroll is up or
down. Over betting your picks is at the root of
most, if not all, financial
collapses, be they sports betting or
business-related. You only have to
look at Enron for a classic example
of how losses were chased with
ever-larger rolls of the dice. (And
we all know how that story ended.)
Also noted by the Bodog lines maker
was the fact that some bettors
continue to back big-name pitchers,
regardless of how his team is
playing. Atlanta right-hander John
Smoltz is one chucker who keeps
getting decent betting support
despite less-than-stellar play from
the Braves.
Not that Smoltz himself has been
terrible. His 3.89 ERA is a fair bit
higher than his 3.28 career number,
but he's only surrendered more than
four earned runs twice in 16 starts.
His 1.20 WHIP is also 10th among
National League pitchers.
The problem is that the Braves have
one of the worst bullpens in
baseball. They've blown a shocking
15 saves - converting just 52
percent of closing opportunities -
so even if Smoltz goes out and gives
his team a solid six or seven
innings of work, a win is far from
in the bag.
So keep these little tips in mind
for all of your sports, but they
will be especially helpful this
summer if you are looking to avoid
any long losing streaks. We
also can help you win from your
sportsbook if you want to sign up
for one of our
baseball picks packages.
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