Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots Odds
The New England Patriots (12-3) will be gunning for an eighth straight win when they conclude the regular season at home against the Buffalo Bills (6-9).
The Patriots are currently listed as an 11.5-point favorite with the total set at 51.
New England overcame a 17-0 deficit and defeated the Miami Dolphins 27-24 last week. With that win, the Pats clinched a first-round bye. They can clinch the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win Sunday. They also clinch the No. 1 seed if the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers lose.
Tom Brady connected on 27 of 46 passes for 304 with one touchdown and no interceptions and rushed for two more scores against the Dolphins. 12 passes found the hands of Wes Welker, who led the team with 138 receiving yards.
Deion Branch hauled in Brady’s lone touchdown pass.
Stevan Ridley led the way on the ground with 64 of the team’s 119 rushing yards.
The Bills ended their seven-game losing streak in impressive fashion with a 40-14 victory over the Denver Broncos. They took two Tim Tebow interceptions back to the house and also had a punt return score.
Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 15 of 27 passes for 196 yards. Four completions went to Stevie Johnson, who led the team with 92 receiving yards.
C.J. Spiller led the rushing attack with 111 yards and a score on 16 carries.
The Patriots have won 15 of the last 16 in this series, but the Bills won the most recent meeting 34-31 on Sept. 25. The Bills recovered from a 21-0 deficit and won on Rian Lindell’s 28-yard field goal as time expired. Buffalo was 3-0 at that point and all alone atop the AFC East.
While the Pats will likely lock up the top seed in the AFC playoffs, it may be asking too much of them to cover this double-digit number.
The Patriots are 3-14 against the spread in their last 17 home games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more while the Bills are 5-2 against the number in their last seven road games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
In regard to the total, the under has been the play. These two have finished under the number in 18 of the last 25 matchups, including nine of the last 12 in New England.
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