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Boyd Free Bets: January 14, 2009

Written by Jimmy Boyd

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No. 1 World Ranking over the last 7 days! After six straight winning days, the gambling gods finally struck back to hand us a losing day, but it took BYU blowing a huge halftime lead and Indiana State allowing a late 14-3 run to put us in the red. 21-10 L31 Overall Picks (68%)! 43-24 Run L15 days! 14-4 L18 5* TOP PLAYS (78%)! I’m coming right back Wednesday with a huge hoops 5-Pack featuring my 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH (12-3 NBA Run) and FOUR UNSTOPPABLE NCAAB PLAYS! Now is the time to sign up for my NBA picks Season Pass for all of my NBA Winners through the NBA Finals in June!

Check out the Jimmy Boyd homepage for all of Wednesday’s game previews and hot streaks.

Tuesday’s Free Picks

Note: I do not personally bet any of these games as they are my weakest leans of the day and will not hit at as high of a percentage as the plays I have on the premium side. If you’re interested in betting these plays and where I got these lines, check out my NBA odds and NCAA Basketball odds pages.

San Antonio Spurs -2.5

This is a big game for the Spurs to make a statement to the Lakers and to the rest of the Western Conference. The Spurs want to make things very clear that Los Angeles will have to go through them if it hopes to get back to the NBA Finals. San Antonio is coming off a home loss to Orlando in which its defense did not play up to par and that will get the Spurs even more focused here. The Lakers have been one of the worst covering teams in the league recently, dropping 14 of their last 20 games against the point spread. The key tonight will be San Antonio’s defense and its ability to control the tempo at home to keep this a halfcourt game. Here are two key trends to look at : the Spurs are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and the Lakers are 3-18 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Both trends support my points that the Spurs will have every incentive to tighten the screws of defense tonight to get a win. Bet the San Antonio Spurs at BetUS.

Dallas Mavericks +4.5

This is a big divisional game for the Mavs and I like them on their home floor catching the points. The home teams has dominated this series against the number as they are 7-2 against the spread in the last nine meetings. The Hornets have also struggled in Dallas and are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven there as a result. We don’t get all that many opportunities throughout the season to get the Mavs with this kind of value at home, but history indicates that it’s a good idea to bounce when you do as the Mavericks are 34-16 ATS in their last 50 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Hornets are only 4-12 against the spread in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Bet the Dallas Mavericks at +4.5 at Bookmaker.

Iowa State Cyclones -1

The Cyclones are 9-2 this season with Hilton Magic on their side and we’ll take them laying the smallest of numbers against a Huskers team which has really struggled on the road in Big 12 play the past few seasons. Here’s a few trends to show you just how badly the Huskers have struggled outside of Lincoln. The Cornhuskers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games, 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Cornhuskers are also 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup. Bet the Iowa State Cyclones at BetUS.

Free Pick Record
Yesterday 1-2
NBA 10-5-1
NCAAB 2-4-1

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