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Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills NFL Betting & Picks

Written by Jimmy Boyd

browns-bills-10709The 0-4 Cleveland Browns take on the 1-3 Buffalo Bills this Sunday at Ralph Wilson Stadium in a Week 5 AFC showdown. Last week, the Browns looked a whole lot better with Derek Anderson under center, but they still lost 23-20 to rival Cincinnati in overtime. The Bills were dominated 38-10 by a Miami Dolphins team playing without starting QB Chad Pennington. These teams last met in Week 11 of last season with Cleveland earning the 29-27 victory. The Browns have won two in a row in this series and own a 10-5 edge all-time. NFL odds makers have listed the Buffalo Bills as a 6-point favorite with the total set at 40.5.

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We saw shades of the 2007 Derek Anderson who led the Browns to 10 wins last week. The offense looked formidable for the first time all season against Cincy, sustaining consistent drives. The Browns outgained the Bengals, finishing with 146 yards on the ground and 249 yards through the air. If Anderson and the Browns play well again this week, Brady Quinn likely won’t be getting off the bench the rest of the season unless Anderson were to get hurt. With Edwards in there, I expect to see Braylon Edwards, who was his favorite target in 2007, to start putting up some big numbers. Edwards caught eight passes for 104 yards the last time he faced the Bills and could be poised for another big day.

Josh Cribbs is another difference maker that the Browns have. He has seven return touchdowns in his career, just one shy of Eric Metcalf’s franchise record. Besides his ability to change a game with one explosive burst, his returns really help the Browns in terms of field position. It is worth noting that the Browns are 12-2 against the number in their last 14 road games versus a team with a losing home record. If you like Cleveland to turn in another sold effort this week, bet the Browns at +6 at BetUS.

With Terrell Owens adding another huge piece to the puzzle in Buffalo, the Bills were expecting to contend for the playoffs this season. But thus far, Owens has been under utilized, catching only eight passes in four games for 158 yards and one touchdown. That’s not much work for a guy that leads the NFL with 110 touchdown catches since 2000. Owen is yet to implode on the sideline or to the media, but it certainly has to be coming soon if Buffalo keeps losing, he doesn’t get the football, and the media keeps prying. We just might see the explosive T.O. we have come accustomed to seeing this week, though, when he faces a Browns’ defense ranked 21st against the pass.

While Trent Edwards catches most of the flack for not getting T.O. the football, it is not all his fault. The Bills offensive line is banged up and Edwards has been sacked 10 times the past two weeks as a result. The constant pressure has also dropped his completion percentage to just 56 percent the last two weeks. Edwards and the Bills could use a big day on offense to help their confidence. On the defensive side of the ball, they’ll look for end Aaron Schobel to continue his QB target practice. Schobel ranks second in Bills history with 71 career sacks and will be gunning for a third straight game with a sack this week. It is worth noting that the Browns are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games as a road underdog. If you think Buffalo is due for a big offensive explosion this week, bet the Bills at -6 at BetUS.

Score big this Sunday with Jimmy Boyd’s NFL expert picks!

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