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Football Betting Guide
We found that a football betting guide is needed to
ensure more clients end up in the black after the
season.
Today's article will focus on
football handicapping and
a few of the things that the sports bettor needs to be
aware of before reaching a conclusion as to what games
show value. We are going to walk you through just a few
of the things the guys from Locksmith Sports research
before they decide which plays they will be releasing
for their NFL picks and college football picks, and then give you a few
of the trends that we have come up for you to watch out
for as you place your bets throughout this football
season. We chose the factors that will help you with
both professional and college football and left some of
the factors out that or more level-specific. We hope
that you can put some of our knowledge to good use.
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Factor No. 1: Revenge Games. Is your team revenging an
earlier loss? Did your team beat their opponent earlier
in the season or late last season? Is this a divisional
rival revenge game or just teams revenging regular
season losses come playoff time? Was the loss at home or
on the road? How many points were put up in the previous matchup? Did it go over or under the total? Was it a
blowout or a close game? Did the favorite win or the
underdog? You get my drift, just the revenge aspect can
have many different angles, but once you delve into this
factor there are some important trends to consider: the
Washington Redskins are just 1-11 ATS revenging a loss
where their opponent scored more than 35 points in the
game, the Bucs have lost 5 straight ATS when revenging a
home loss against an opponent, and the Colts are just
2-7 ATS when revenging an upset loss. If you want to
look at the flip side and find a successful team when
revenging then take a look at the Philadelphia Eagles.
They are 14-6 ATS revenging a home loss and 18-6 ATS
when revenging a loss by 7 points or less. New England
has won 6 of 7 ATS when revenging a same-season loss
against an opponent. San Jose State is 5-0 ATS revenging
a straight up loss as a favorite while USC is just 8-14
ATS when revenging a loss by 7 points or less.
Northwestern has won 5 straight when revenging a road
loss of more than 14 points while New Mexico State has
won 7 straight when facing an opponent that beat them by
more than 14 last time out.
Factor No. 2: What is each team's strength and how do
they fare against the other team's
strengths/weaknesses. Obviously you need to know what
each team is going to try to accomplish both offensively
and defensively. Is it a team like the Baltimore Ravens
a few years ago that relies totally on their defense and
trusts their offense to not mess things up, maybe score
10 points in the process? Or is it a team more like the
St. Louis Rams of a few years ago, simply wanting the
defense to make a stop or two so they can get on the
field and try to get past the 40 point barrier. These
are important things to know because they bring up some
interesting trends. Did you know that Arizona is 10-3 ATS against teams allowing less than 260 yards per game?
Or that Baltimore is 13-1 ATS their last 14 games
against teams whose defense gives up more than 5.65
yards per play? Finally, Carolina is 12-4 their last 16
home games against teams who gain less than 285 yards
per game. The Bears on the other hand haven't won in
7 straight games against a defense that allows more than
375 yards per game and the Cowboys are just 3-10 their
last 13 against teams who average 7.5 yards per attempt.
Know the kinds of teams that your team does well
against, and which ones they don't.
Factor No. 3: Last game's performance. Some teams can
keep the ball rolling when things are going their way
while some are a constant Yo Yo. Did the passing game
finally get into sync? Or maybe after trying to hold a
lead through the 4th quarter by running 20 straight
times they wore out the offensive line and their running
backs, or was it the defense that got worn down trying
to chase down a high flying offense and thus is fatigued
for the next week's game? Do they get motivated when
coming off of a close loss or blowout. Some teams also
face a let down when they beat a rival or blow a team
out. We have yet another list of trends that support our
theories on the previous game's performance affecting
this week's action. Let's start with the Eagles from
Boston College. These guys are 10-1 ATS when coming off
of a conference loss while the Cougars from BYU are just
6-15 ATS coming off a conference loss. Marshall is 0 for
9 coming off a non-conference game while a team like
Iowa State is 5-0 in Ames after a week off. Southern
Methodist is just 2-10 ATS on the road after gaining 9
or more yards per pass attempt. Watch out for Wake
Forest coming off a bye week, they are 7-1 ATS on the
road the next game, but 0-6 ATS if the next week they
are at home.
These are just 3 of many different factors that we take
a look at the week prior to the weekend when making our
football betting
picks. We
hope that if you wish to do the research on your own
then this little article will enlighten you to many of
the tips that we have used in years past to bring in
hefty profits via investing in football betting. As
always good luck and may the ball bounce your way!!
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