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Western Kentucky Troy Free College Basketball Pick for March 8, 2010

Written by Jimmy Boyd on March 8, 2010

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FREE WINNER FOR 3/8
NCAAB
1 Unit on Troy +4.5
Troy won the first meeting this season by 8 points at home, but it was clobbered by 18 at WKU last month. Expect the Trojans to have payback on the brain tonight. First off, WKU has really struggled when playing away from home from this season from the standpoint of the point spread. While WKU is 9-8 when playing away from home, it is only 6-11 ATS in those contests. Trojans enter at 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog. Plus, plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, are 28-13 ATS the last 5 seasons. We’ll take Troy and the points for 1 unit tonight.

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