Free Sports Picks

Many years ago when the Locksmith started giving out his sports betting picks to his customers, there was an outcry for free sports picks in order for prospective customers to try out his plays before purchasing a package.  We wanted to include a little memo at the top of our free sports picks page in order to put everyone's expectations in check and to make sure they have a realistic goal when it comes to their sports investing experiences.  Each day the free pick we put out is the lowest rated premium pick on the board.  We expect these plays to hit around 55% of the time over the course of an entire season.  It is only on the premium sports picks side with our higher rated plays that you can expect to see winning percentages of 58-62% and that is where the real money is to be made. 

NCAA-F  |  Nov 07
Utah St. vs. Hawaii
Utah St.
-1-109
  at  5DIMES
Started
Utah St runs the ball for 4.7 yards a carry while Hawaii allows 5.0 yards a carry. Utah St is 5-0-1 ATS their last 6 November games and they are 9-1-1 ATS after gaining more than 450 yards in their last game. The Aggies are 10-2-1 ATS their last 13 games overall. Hawaii is 3-7 ATS vs. losing teams and they are 1-5 ATS off a straight up loss. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their last game and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 Conference games. PLAY ON UTAH ST -

NFL  |  Nov 08
Tennessee Titans vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
-4-110
  at  BODOG
> 16h.
Unlocked Sports 2* Freeplay

Despite losing 3 in a row, Mike Singletary has done a great job with this franchise. The 49ers held right in there with the Colts on the road last week and could have easily won the game outright. The same thing happened a week earlier in Houston where the 49ers battled back from a 21 point deficit. Additionally, they almost defeated Minnesota on the road but lost because of a last second 32 yard touchdown by Brett Favre. Alex Smith has done a good job running this team since he stepped in two weeks ago and has giving them the spark they needed. Although he lost last week and they lost the week before when he came in for the 2nd half they looked like a different team. San Francisco is only 3-4 but the 49ers are 5-1-1 ATS this season. Tennessee is in town off of their 1st win all season after Vince Young got the start. The Titans' defense is allowing 30.1 points per game and a whooping 394.9 total yards. I do not expect Tennessee to even compete in this game as last week was their win but the previous 6 weeks was more or less a complete disaster. The 49ers will put pressure on Vince Young and shutdown Chris Johnson. San Fran will try and make it to 4-4 this week and run all over Tennessee. The public is on the Titans but we will glady take the home favorite to win this one convincingly.

Alex has been one of the most consistent NFL cappers this year, winning 16 of his last 24! He has a Guaranteed to Profit NFL 5Pack including a 5* Platinum Selection! If he fails to win at least 3 out of 5, then you will have all of his plays ABSOLUTELY FREE for the next 7 days!!!

NFL  |  Nov 08
Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
-10-101
  at  5DIMES
> 16h.
Free NFL Play

NFL  |  Nov 08
Washington Redskins vs. Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
-10-106
  at  5DIMES
> 13h.
Free NFL Play

NFL  |  Nov 08
Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
-3+100
  at  SPBOOK
> 13h.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #108 Take Chicago over Arizona (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Red Birds have some questionable losses on the season and some impressive wins. Last week they got blown out by Carolina, a team that is likely to make major changes once this season is completed. The Bears got healthy last week against Cleveland winning that game, 30-6. This team needs to keep winning to stay two games behind the Vikings, a team they have yet to play this season. The weather should also play a factor, as the Birds do not like to travel north in November. The Bears need this game and they get it by double digits. They pressure QB Warner for sixty minutes and we collect big in the process as well. Do not forget to sign-up for Doc’s Sports top play winner in college football. We easily nailed our top play last week and will look for our fifth straight top play winner in college football on Saturday.

-=TOP PLAY=-
NFL  |  Nov 08
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
-9-105
  at  BODOG
> 13h.
1* Take the Indianapolis Colts ATS, The Colts are the superior team here Sunday and I look for them to dominate this game from start to finish after getting a scare last week from the 49ers. The Texans are just 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team that has a winning record at home and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after a win by more than 14 points. The Texans are also just 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and the Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. The Colts have outscored their opponents by an average of 20.6 ppg over their last 3 games and I look for a strong performance from them Sunday after a let down against the 49ers last week. Take the Indianapolis Colts ATS as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday.

Vernon Croy continues to crush the books on the grid-iron so make sure you get on his top football picks now as his huge run continues!

NCAA-F  |  Nov 07
Colorado State vs. UNLV
Total
62 ov-106
  at  5DIMES
Started
Free CFB Over-Under

NFL  |  Nov 08
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
Total
48 ov-103
  at  5DIMES
> 13h.
Free NFL Over-Under

NFL  |  Nov 08
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
+7-115
  at  BODOG
> 13h.
Free NFL Play Courtesy of Tony George Sports


Kansas City +6.5 @ Jacksonville


Wow, The Jags favored by almost TD against anyone is quite a shock. The Jacksonville defense made Vince Young form 0-6 Tennessee last week look like a legit NFL starter at QB! The Jags have a system to where they play to the level of the team they are playing and then get beat. Not the Jack Del Rio coached Jags of previous years editions. Kansas City is no juggernaut on offense but the suspension of Larry Johnson who has managed under 3 yards a carry this season, actually is a good thing in my opinion, because Jamal Charles is better at things head coach Todd Haley wants to do on offense. He has speed and an ability to break tackles and catch out of the backfield. He also is not at odds with his teammates either, which is a huge plus for the Chiefs who are in desperate need of a win.


Kansas City is off a bye week, and healthy. Matt Cassel at QB has had little time to impress this year throwing the ball, because he has no OL to block for him. With a weak Jags front 5, and an even weaker pass rush (last in the NFL), look for KC to be able to move the chains on offense and balance their attack. Kansas City’s only win this year was on the road against Washington with the same line as this one, and they managed that win without a TD. Look for KC to score points here and trade punches on offense and keep this one within 3 points.


Jacksonville 23 KC 20 (an outright win by KC would not shock me)


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NFL  |  Nov 08
Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks
Detroit Lions
+10½-110
  at  SIA
> 16h.
On Sunday the System Club Play is on Sunday the System club play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 419 at 4:05 eastern. The Lions qualify in a solid system today that plays on certain non division road dogs if both teams come into the game off non divisional losses. The Lions lost last week as a home favorite to the Rams,while the Seahawks were pasted by the Cowboys. The Lions are 8-2 ats after scoring 10 or less and will play a competitive game here today. On Sunday I have a TRIPLE system 5 star, a 20-3 System dog of the week play,a 24-4 cutting edge totals system play that dates to the mid 1970/s and an 18-1 non divisional super system side. Another HUGE NFL card is up. On Saturday we nailed both TOP play including the College football GOY. Congrats to all those who jumped on and made a killing with Stanford and Ohio.St yesterday. Jump on and finish your week with the cash today. For the System club play take the Lions who should be +10.5 at game time. RV

NCAA-F  |  Nov 07
Utah St. vs. Hawaii
Hawaii
+2-105
  at  SPBOOK
Started
On Saturday the System club play is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Game 392 at 10:00 eastern. Hawaii is not as good as in past years,however they should be able to get this one today at home. Utah.St falls in to a negative system of mine that plays against certain road favorites off a road dog loss and cover if they are taking on an opponent off a road dog loss and cover.This system is 3-16 ats for road favorites like Utah.St since 1980. Both teams suffered tough road losses last week. This week Hawaii is a 2 point dog to a Utah.St team that has lost all 4 times on the road this year and the last 10 road games going back to 2007. They are just 1-6 against the spread as road favorites of less than 5 points. Hawaii has revenge for a loss last year in Utah where they actually had more yards 374-368. Look for a nice home win here tonight by the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. On Saturday I have the 7 unit 2009 College football GAME OF THE YEAR. This big play is backed with 4 systems. One of which has cashed 24 of 25 times going back to 1980. I have cashed all three 7 unit plays released this year.The last one in bases back in July. This game leads a solid overall card that will have 4-5 solid system plays + NBA on the later report. The game goes in late afternoon action. For the System Club play take Hawaii plus the points. RV

NCAA-F  |  Nov 07
Utah St. vs. Hawaii
Utah St.
-2-102
  at  5DIMES
Started

NCAA Football

391 Utah State vs 392 Hawaii

Saturday, November 7th, 2008

10:05 pm est, 7:05 pm pacific

Line: Utah State(-2)
Rating: EZ Free Winner


In this contest, my money is on the Utah State Aggies.


Quick trivia question for you. Which college football team has been one of the hottest
in the country over the last 1 1/2 seasons?? Would you believe Utah State? This football team is
on an incredible 10-1-1 mark over their last 12 football games. They
have a great quarterback running the show and Mr. Borel scares the hell
out of everybody because he can do it all. Not only has he tossed 11
TD's compared to a mere 1 INT this season, he can also kill you with his
legs, as he did against Fresno, amassing 105 yards along the ground.
Hawaii has nothing left in the tank and it almost seems like they are
down to the ball boy when it pertains to the quarterback position.
I know the Aggie won/loss record doesn't warrant them being a favorite,
especially on a distracting trip to the Islands. Despite this, I think
the right team is favored and I like them here.


STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE UTAH STATE AGGIES OVER THE HAWAII WARRIORS
AS AN EZ FREE WINNER




NFL  |  Nov 08
Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
+13½-110
  at  SIA
> 16h.
Carolina won for the third time in four games at Atlanta last week and the gameplan was run to perfection. The Panthers have now outgained their last four opponents and they have now outgained three of their four opponents on the road. Most important during this four-game stretch is that they have outrushed their opponents and that is extremely vital for the offense to survive and for the team to win. Carolina won both meetings last season and while the teams have changed, I don’t thin they have changed that much for such a big line swing. Last season in New Orleans, the Panthers were favored by a point and now they are getting around 13 points making it over a two-touchdown swing. That is simply too much. New Orleans is now the favorite in the NFC to represent the conference in the Super Bowl and people are actually talking about the Saints going undefeated. While they have looked great and unbeatable in some spots, they will show some weakness and this could be one of those spots. They are coming off a massive Monday night game where the city went crazy and the team was as fired up as ever. Now in comes a team that is 3-4 on the season and it will be next to impossible for them to get up again. Add to that it is a short week for New Orleans and the situation becomes more difficult. Take the ball out of quarterback Jake Delhomme’s hands and it gives the Panthers an excellent chance to win. In the victory over the Cardinals, Carolina passed it only 15 times while rushing it 44 times for 270 yards (6.1 ypc). In those 15 passes, Delhomme threw a touchdown pass while not tossing an interception. After seven games, it was the first time all season that he did not throw an interception which is certainly no great accomplishment. This was the second time that Carolina limited his passes as three games ago, he threw only 17 times against Tampa Bay as the offense rushed for 267 yards on 48 carries (5.6 ypc). The Saints allowed 161 yards on 24 carries (6.7 ypc) against the Falcons so they are showing they are vulnerable against the run with Sedrick Ellis sitting on the sidelines and that is where he will be again this week. Running the ball is big for the Panthers as that is where they excel and it keeps Drew Brees and the potent Saints offensive attack off the field. The Panthers registered five sacks last week on Kurt Warner and while still a middle of the road team in sacks on the season, they can apply some pressure to Brees as he has gone down 11 times this year. That may seem great but he was sacked only 13 times all of last season so things are not as good. Carolina has been average against the run, allowing 119.5 ypg which is 20th in the league but it has improved immensely. The Panthers have allowed just 90.3 ypg on 3.8 ypc over their last three games. Carolina falls into a great situation as well. Play against favorites of 10.5 or more points that are averaging 5.8 or more yppl going up against a team that is allowing between 4.9 and 5.4 yppl. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. The Panthers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game so they should be able to once again carry that momentum forward. They have also covered eight straight meetings in New Orleans. 3* Carolina Panthers


Fargo did it again this past week as he continues to pound the books with his big plays! In the NFL in Week Eight, he had 10* Wins with Baltimore on Sunday and Atlanta on Monday! He is now an ASTOUNDING 9-1 ATS (90%) in the NFL with his 10* Plays! Now comes one of his biggest reports which is his NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR! The Big Game Hunter strikes again!


NFL  |  Nov 08
Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears
Total
45 un-115
  at  BODOG
> 13h.
Chicago's offense is kind of a joke. They have a fear of crossing the goal line.In a matchup where neither team can be defined as a model of consistency, it's difficult to select a winner with a high dose of confidence. However, it is fairly safe to say that this game will most likely be determined by the play of the quarterbacks, since both clubs have been struggling to run the ball effectively all year long. Warner's pedigree could give the Cardinals an edge here, but last week's horrific outing can't be dismissed as simply an aberration, as the fact of the matter is the two-time league MVP hasn't been playing at the level he did during last season's memorable run to the Super Bowl. On the road, the Cardinals are averaging 27.3 scoring, and holding teams to 12.3 points scored on defense. Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 games in Week 9 and Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games overall. TAKE THE UNDER HERE.

NFL  |  Nov 08
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+10-105
  at  SIA
> 13h.

Ryan has been handicapping sports professionally for 16+ seasons. This play ranks among the TOP-25 strongest graded plays ever produced by his Ai Simulator + supporting research spanning those 16 years. The play is further reinforced by TWO absolutely incredible 27-year systems +88% ATS angle.


Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Tampa Bay as they host Green Bay set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that they will lose this game by 9 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 72-33 for 69% ATS winners since 1983. Play on dogs or pick after 7 or more consecutive losses. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 33-11 for 75% winners since 1999. Play on home dogs or pick after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games and is a terrible team winning <=25% playing a team with a winning record. TB in an excellent role for a strong game noting they are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better since 1992. Minnesota is simply in a poor spot coming off a terrible emotional loss to Favre and the Vikings. They were completely dominated in that game and know that they are not the BEST team in the division by leaps and bounds. Now facing a team that is winless there will be a strong tendence to assume that the game is won before it even starts. As SunTzu stated so well in the book “The art of War”, some battles are won before they are fought. Certainly an opponent that is not focused on the business at hand is extremely vulnerable to being defeated. Take TB.



NFL  |  Nov 08
Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears
Total
44 ov-110
  at  BOOKM
> 13h.
Widow's NFL Free Pick for Sunday:

1* on Cardinals/Bears OVER 44


Look for plenty of offensive fireworks Sunday between the Bears and Cardinals at Soldier Field to get this OVER. Arizona has been at their best offensively on the road this year, while the Bears have been scoring at will at home. The Cardinals average 27.3 points/game on the road, while Chicago puts up 31.7 points/game at home. Neither team has been all that great defensively this year as both squads give up over 20 points/game. The Bears are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. The OVER is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. The OVER is 40-15 in Cardinals last 55 games as an underdog. Arizona is 39-18 OVER in their last 57 road games. You can see a trend developing here that when the Cardinals are a road dog, chances are it's going to result in a high-scoring affair. The OVER is 11-1 in the Bears' last 12 games overall when installed a favorite of 0.5-3.0 points. The OVER is 18-6 in Bears last 24 games as a home favorite. We see no way this one stays under the number by game's end. Take the OVER 44 points here.

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Free Football Picks

For both the NFL and college football we will release a free pick to our newsletter subscribers on Saturdays and Sundays.  These plays are not the best plays that we have on the board, but they are worth your football betting consideration.  Our free football picks are going to be of a higher quality than many other online handicappers premium picks so feel free to continue betting these plays, but if you want to really increase your profits this season then you need to take a look at our premium pick packages.  On the premium side you will get anywhere from between 3 to 7 football predictions that we feel are solid bets.  The NFL is tough for the general public so at the very least you will need to take a look at our Sunday and Monday selections.  Three day packages are very popular this time of year to go Saturday-Monday. 

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