New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars Line

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Word out of New York is Mark Sanchez will be the starter against the Jags. This Jets team has been a big disappointment for Jets fans. They were excited with the Tim Tebow addition, but they haven’t seen much of him so far. Mark Sanchez hasn’t looked very good all year and that probably won’t change. The bad thing is Jets owners want to see McElroy under center but the coach has said it will be Sanchez. Does anyone agree on anything in New York? Shonn Greene was the bright spot last week rushing for 104 yards on 24 carries, but he laid down on the 1 yard line to run the clock out last week. The touchdown would have got the cover. The Jags had a tough game against the Bills but Chad Henne has looked like their savior. The worst thing for the Jags right now is their run game. Injuries have been terrible. MJD goes down, Parmele went down last week and is out for the season and Rashard Jennings just into producing.

Reasons why the Jets should cover:

The Jags aren’t good against the run allowing 144 yards on the ground which is 2nd worst in the league. They also allowing 260.9 yards through the air which ranks 28th in the league, but the Jets have some serious problems. The Jets can’t throw the ball as they rank 28th in the league averaging just 193.8 yards/game. They do rank 12th on the ground averaging 115.2 yards/game and that could be the big reason they cover in this game.

Their defense is very good against the pass allowing just 198.3 yards/game which ranks 4th in the league, but they give up the 4th most rushing yards at 137.7 yards/game. If their defense can stop Henne, Blackmon and Shorts they could have huge success. The bad thing for the Jags is MJD won’t play and could be done for the year. If they can’t run the ball, then they are done.

On offense with Mark Sanchez under center, that will give the Jags hope. He hasn’t looked good all season. He has completed 204 of 371 pass attempts for 2436 yards and 12 touchdowns. They will look to Shonn Greene to put this team on his shoulders, unless they put in McElroy.

Trends: The Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Their also 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Reasons why the Jags should cover:

This whole team has been in the dumps until Chad Henne came in. Henne has completed 73 of 139 pass attempts for 1032 and 8 touchdowns which is one less than Gabbert had. Rashard Jennings is averaging just 2.8 yards/carry and you can’t have success with those numbers.

Justin Blackmon is looking like the Oklahoma State stud they drafted. He has 39 receptions for 557 yards and 3 touchdowns. Most of that has come over the last 3-4 games. Cecil Shorts has been the biggest surprise for this team as he is looking like a veteran. Shorts has 43 catches for 824 yards and 7 touchdowns and along with Henne has been the spark this team needed. The Jags offense ranks 24th in passing averaging just 203.5 yards/game and rank last in the NFL running the ball averaging just 78.8 yards/game. If the Jags want to win this game, they need to stop Shonn Greene and Rashard Jennings needs to have success.

Trends: The Jags are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Their also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Right now the Jets are favored by 2.5 points and the total is set at 38.5 points!

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