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Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Picks & Odds

Written by Jimmy Boyd

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday at Municipal Stadium in a Week 9 AFC clash. The Chiefs should be ready this week as they are coming off a bye while the Jags should be hungry after becoming the first team to lose to the Titans. These teams last met in the 2007 season with the Jags winning 17-7. The win improved Jacksonville to 5-2 in the all-time series. The books have predicted that Jacksonville will continue its winning ways over the Chiefs, listing the Jaguars as 6-point favorites with the total set at 42.

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When the Jags defeated the Chiefs back in 2007, they outrushed them 156 to 10. A strong ground attack led by Maurice Jones-Drew figures to be the key to victory again Sunday. Jones-Drew is without question the best playmaker on Jacksonville’s squad, and that’s why coach Jack Del Rio has to make sure he gets more touches. I mean, the guy has 50 touchdowns in 53 career games. That’s truly incredible. Last week he broke off 79 and 80-yard scoring runs, but he only got eight total totes for the game. In fact, he has received 15 or fewer carries four times this season. When you’ve got a horse like Jones-Drew, you have to ride him. Expect the Jags to get that figured out this week as they take on a Chiefs defense ranked 26th against the run.

Defensively, the Jags have got to start showing some more fire. They rank in the bottom third of the league in total defense (No. 24) and they haven’t been able to help the offense out with any big game-changing plays. The Jags are dead last in the league with only five sacks thus far on the season. They also rank near the bottom in interceptions and fumbles forced. Kansas City is certainly not immune to coughing up the football so making some big defensive plays this week could go a long way in securing the win. It is worth noting that the Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the AFC. If you like Jacksonville to take care of business at home against the Chiefs, bet the Jaguars at -6 at Bookmaker.

Chiefs QB Matt Cassel is 7-3 in his career as a starter on the road. Now those are some pretty good numbers and he just might be able to improve on them if Jacksonville gives him all day to pick them apart as they have everyone else. Cassel will be looking at his favorite target, Dwayne Bowe early and often Sunday. Bowe has 23 catches on the season and is averaging 13.1 yards per catch. He has four touchdowns on the season but has picked up the pace lately with two in the last three games.

Of course, Kansas City is going to need to pose a running threat to keep Jacksonville honest. The Jags will definitely place more of an emphasis on stopping the run this week after getting gashed for 228 yards by Chris Johnson. Kansas City may be able to find some success on the ground as well with an inspired effort by Jamaal Charles. Larry Johnson is out serving a suspension, making this Charles’ time to shine. It is worth noting that the Jaguars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. If you like Kansas City to put their bye week to good use by challenging the Jags on the road this week, bet the Chiefs at +6 at Bookmaker.

Score the cash this Sunday with NFL expert picks from world champion handicapper Jimmy Boyd!

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