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Kansas State at Missouri Football Odds & Predictions

The 13th Ranked Missouri Tigers host the Kansas State Wildcats Saturday night in Big 12 action.  People seem to have forgotten about Missouri after losses to Oklahoma State and Texas, but this is still one of the better teams in the Big 12, and, according to their ranking, in the nation.  Kansas State is just 4-5 overall and were crushed last week against Kansas.  The Wildcats have plenty of reason to worry this week as Missouri is a very similar team to Kansas, only the Tigers have had even more success this year.  Maybe Kansas State will use their knowledge to their advantage Saturday, but they’ll need to play their best game of the year if they want to keep this one close.  Oddsmakers have set Missouri as 27 point favorites over K-State and have set the total at 73.5 points.

Missouri opened up their 2008 campaign with five straight wins, but have since lost two games and look to be out of the hunt for Big 12 Championship honors, what the Tigers do have going for them, however, is a chance to play in a major bowl game, which should be all the motivation they need to finish out the season strong.  The most familiar name on the Missouri roster has to be Chase Daniel, who was considered one of the favorites to win the Heisman Trophy early on in the season, but hasn’t really been mentioned as a serious contender lately.  Daniels still has pretty impressive numbers, he’s completed 77 percent of his passes and thrown for nearly 3,000 yards with 26 touchdowns and just 8 interceptions.  Kansas State will have their hands full with Daniels spreading the ball around this Saturday.  It’s hard to see how any team could hope to knock him off of his game, but he is the obvious key to the offense.

The Tigers haven’t done so well on the defensive side of the ball.  They are giving up over 390 yards of total offense per game, which has translated into nearly 24 points per game for their opponents.  Most of those yards have come through air, probably as a result of teams trying to keep up with Missouri’s high-powered offense.  Kansas State has been able to rack up some pretty impressive numbers through the air already this year, so don’t be surprised when the Tigers give up big chunks of yardage to the Wildcats.  Defense isn’t the Tigers’ strong suit, but their amazing offense has made Kansas a 27 point favorite Saturday.

Kansas State has an impressive QB of their own in Josh Freeman.  Freeman’s numbers aren’t as big as Daniel’s, but he has thrown for over 2,400 yards and 15 touchdowns this year.  On the whole, this is an offense that spreads the ball around and racks up massive amounts of yardage.  Accumulating nearly 420 yards of total offense per game and scoring 36.6 points per game, it’s hard to see how this club has fallen to 4-5 this year.  The culprit certainly isn’t on this side of the ball, something else must be to blame.

Where the Kansas State offense has really been one of the most impressive in the nation, the defense has been one of the worst in all of college football.  The Wildcats surrender a ridiculous 444 yards of total offense per game and have given up nearly 34 points per game on average.  In short, the K-State defense can’t keep opponents close enough to give their great offense a chance to win games.  This Wildcat defense is going to be up against one of the best offenses they’ve seen all year, and that’s not good for a team who has to rely on the offense keeping pace.

Two great offenses in Saturday’s contest, but Missouri is better on both sides of the ball.  The Tigers will give up their share of points, that’s for sure, but they should have no trouble moving the ball through this weak Kansas State defense.  Lots of scoring in this one, but Missouri scores a whole lot more.  The defense is the biggest reason why the Kansas State Wildcats are 27 point underdogs in this game.

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