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Kansas vs Texas Football Odds & Predictions

Written by Steve Janus

The number four ranked team in the nation, the Texas Longhorns travel to Kansas to battle the Kansas Jayhawks in Big 12 action this week.  This is an interesting game because it is a spot where the Longhorns could be vulnerable.  They are on the road against a very good offense.  Kansas is no Texas Tech, but they do have an explosive offense and are dangerous at home.  Texas is still keeping hope alive for a BCS Title bid, but they’ll need a convincing win over the next two weeks and a win in the Big 12 Conference Championship to be considered, that is, unless there are some major shake ups by Texas Tech and Alabama in the weeks ahead.  Texas is a 13 point favorite at Kansas with the total set at 68 points.

The Texas offense is a machine.  They’ve racked up 44 points per  game on 476 yards of total offense.  Heisman hopeful quarterback Colt McCoy is the main reason for their success, he’s completed 78 percent of his passes this season for over 2,800 yards and has thrown 28 touchdowns with just 7 interceptions.  Those are impressive numbers, but you also have to give it up for the Texas receivers, who have been outstanding this year.  Quan Crosby and Jordan Shipley have combined for over 130 catches, 1,600 yards and 17 touchdowns.  The Kansas secondary will have their hands full all afternoon.  The holes in the Kansas defense have made Texas 13 point favorites on the road this week.

Defensively the Longhorns are decent by Big 12 standards.  Since they face some of the best offenses in the nation the 20 points per game and 352 yards per game aren’t as bad as they look.  That, and the fact that they have one of the best offenses in the country to help cover any mistakes on defense.  The rush defense has been especially strong, allowing under 90 yards per game, but the secondary has struggled against a slew of good Big 12 quarterbacks, allowing 266 yards through the air on average.

The Jayhawks have racked up some pretty impressive stats of their own, though not as impressive as Texas, the 34 points per game and 443 yards of total offense are respectable in their own right.  The key to the KU offense is also at the quarterback position.  Field captain Todd Reesing carries the load on this side of the ball, completing 67 percent of his passes for just under 3,000 yards.  Reesing has 23 touchdowns with 10 interceptions this year, excellent numbers considering how much they throw the ball.  The Jayhawks aren’t without a running game either, lead back Jake Sharp has pitched in for over 700 yards this year while scoring 10 touchdowns.  Kansas will need some big plays on the offensive side of the ball this week and their will be openings in the Texas secondary, it will be up to Reesing and the KU receivers to take advantage.

The Kansas defense has been a problem all season long.  The Jayhawks are yielding 28 points per game and over 390 yards of total offense.  Again, there is some good competition in the Big 12, but, as good as the offense is, they can’t expect too much success with defensive numbers like that.  As with most teams in the Big 12, Kansas is much better against the run than the pass, but this is likely due to the number of passing plays against running plays that they see each week.  The Jayhawks secondary should be worried this week against one of the best quarterback-receiving corps combos in the nation.  Do you think Kansas can keep the game within the 13 point spread as underdogs at home this week?

The Jayhawks have the offense to keep up with Texas to a point and the crowd in Lawrence will no doubt boost Kansas’s performance.  They simply don’t have the tools on defense to stop the Longhorns for long enough to keep up.  There will be plenty of points in this one as neither defense has been great at stopping the pass this year.

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