Matt Fargo Sports Picks
This will mark the 14th year the Matt Fargo has been releasing his sports picks to clients and what a profitable ride it has been for those fortunate enough to be with him from the beginning. Over his career he has had only two losing seasons, and there hasn't been a single loser in the last eight years. That has meant a lot of profits for those of you following his baseball, basketball, and football picks season after season.
Basketball & Football Betting
The thing about the sports handicapping service that Matt Fargo runs is that he isn't full of a lot of BS like some handicappers are. He will shoot it to you straight while giving clients exactly what they want, which are winning selections. His analysis is bar none as he writes a book with each prediction so you know what kind of information he is putting together to come up with the bet he has chosen. He does the hard work each day while pouring over the latest stats, matchups, trends and news so clients get the best of the best in the world of sports.
Matt Fargo believes it takes a long-term committment to win with your baseball, basketball or football betting. This is why he recommends signing up for a long-term subscription. If you join him for the full season of NFL picks, you are going to come out on top, but on any given weekend he could get a couple of bad bounces and not end up on top. Stick with him though and you will end up a winner in the long run. If you want a service that is dedicated to winning while being honest and consistent, then look no further than Matt Fargo.
We are your home for sports handicapping advice.
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Matt Fargo |
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| Matt went a POWERFUL 3-1 on Wednesday and his 2012 All-Sports rampage continues! He is a STAGGERING 105-62-5 (62.9%) this year and he adds to it Thursday with 5 MASSIVE Plays! |
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| SHORT STATS | ||||
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| Last 7 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| ATS Picks | +325.0 units | +12.2% | 58% | 14-10 |
| Overall Picks | +85.0 units | +2.5% | 55% | 16-13 |
| Last 30 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Overall Picks | +2212.0 units | +14.7% | 61% | 79-51 |
| ATS Picks | +2131.0 units | +17.8% | 61% | 66-42 |
| Top Play Picks | +1768.0 units | +26.8% | 66% | 39-20 |
| Moneyline Picks | +292.0 units | +10.4% | 65% | 13-7 |
| Last 60 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Overall Picks | +4427.0 units | +15.0% | 61% | 156-100 |
| ATS Picks | +3387.0 units | +14.8% | 60% | 124-84 |
| Top Play Picks | +2267.0 units | +17.0% | 61% | 73-47 |
| Moneyline Picks | +1367.0 units | +23.2% | 73% | 30-11 |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 09, 2012 Iowa vs. Northwestern |
Iowa +7-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
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Matt went a POWERFUL 3-1 on Wednesday and his 2012 All-Sports rampage continues! He is a STAGGERING 105-62-5 (62.9%) this year and he adds to it Thursday with 5 MASSIVE Plays! His SIZZLING 72-45-5 CBB run is added to with 3 plays, his SWEET 16-7-1 NBA run is extended on TNT and his EPIC 29-9 NHL streak continues! Northwestern is coming off a big road win on Sunday at rival Illinois and now it is being asked to lay a big number against a team that possesses a better conference record. The Wildcats are now 4-6 in the Big Ten following two straight wins but getting that third straight victory will be a challenge as they have not won three straight games in the conference since the end of the 2008-09 season. Northwestern is 9-3 at home this season but just 3-2 in the conference. The Hawkeyes have also won two straight and while both of those came at home, this is a much improved team from last season. Iowa won only four Big Ten games all of last season and a win here can put it into a tie for fifth place in the conference. Iowa has lost its last three road games in the Big Ten but those losses came against top teams in Purdue, Indiana and Michigan St. It does possess a quality road win at Wisconsin so winning on the road is certainly a possibility here. Iowa will have a tough matchup on defense as the Wildcats employ the Princeton-style offense and the Hawkeyes must match up with Northwestern’s multiple three-point shooters and defend the backdoor plays. They defend the three-point shot well including allowing just 31.4 percent on the road. They should have a good gameplan in place after the Wildcats lit them up for 26 three-points in the two meetings last season. After allowing 103 points at Indiana, Iowa has allowed just 123 points the last two games. As far as power ratings go, there is not a lot separating these two teams so a highly competitive game should be expected. The underdog is 8-2-1 ATS over the last 11 meetings in this series and this season the Hawkeyes are a perfect 3-0 ATS as underdogs of seven points or less. Meanwhile, Northwestern is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win and it is also 1-5 ATS in its last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 3* (735) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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NHL | Feb 09, 2012 Winnipeg Jets vs. Washington Capitals |
Washington Capitals -171 at 5DIMES |
Lost $171.0 |
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Washington had a big win on Tuesday over Florida and the Southeast Division did another flip-flop. With the victory, the Capitals went from ninth place to third place in the in the Eastern Conference as they now have a one point lead over the Panthers. That makes this a pivotal game as these follow up games are essentially just as important to keep the momentum going. The victory over Florida improved Washington to 19-7-1 at home, which extended the most home win in the Eastern Conference. Winnipeg is trying to hang around in the playoff race as it is coming off a home win over Toronto on Tuesday which snapped a two-game losing streak and kept the Jets within five points of Ottawa for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Winning at home has been one thing but doing it on the road has been another as Winnipeg is 9-16-4 on the road and those 20 combined losses are ties for the most in the conference. The Jets are just 10-29 in their last 39 games following a win. Goal scoring has been the big issue lately for Winnipeg away from home. The Jets have only 60 goals scored on the season but they haven't scored more than two goals in their last eight games away from home, totaling eight overall. That is not a good thing when they have the fifth worst save percentage on the other side at just 89.6 percent. They have allowed 92 goals away from home which is tied for third most in the NHL and facing the Capitals, which are averaging over three gpg at home, is not ideal. While Winnipeg is five points back in the overall standings, it is just four points back of Washington in the division so the Capitals have to be weary of that situation as well which makes holding home ice even more important. The Capitals have won 10 of the past 11 home games against the Jets franchise including an overtime win this season. Washington is 40-13 in its last 53 home games against teams with a road winning percentage worse than .400. 8* (6) Washington Capitals |
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NCAA-B | Feb 09, 2012 Virginia Tech vs. Miami (Fla) |
Virginia Tech +6½-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
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It has been a rough season for Virginia Tech but things have been so close to being a whole lot better. The Hokies are only 2-6 in the ACC but of those six losses, four have come by four points or fewer with the other two coming at the hands of North Carolina and Duke. Virginia Tech is 3-6 this season in games decided in overtime or by five or fewer points so that 13-10 record is a bit skewed. The Hokies RPI is surprisingly low because of this and that it has played the 39th ranked schedule in the nation. Miami meanwhile has come off two straight overtime victories, at home against Maryland (double OT) and on the road at Duke in its most recent game on Sunday. That gave Miami its first victory ever at Cameron Indoor Stadium and just its second win over Duke since joining the ACC. While you can argue it was a confidence builder, you can certainly argue it bringing up a letdown situation. It was the first time Duke has lost more than one home game since 2006-07 which shows it is not the same Duke team. On the season, the Hokies are outshooting opponents by 3.2 percent from the floor while the Hurricanes are outshooting opponents by 2.3 percent from the floor and the variances get even bigger from long range, +9.2 percent to +2.5 percent in favor of the Hokies. Virginia also has a better free throw shooting percentage, a better rebounding margin and a better assist/turnover ratio margin. All of this adds up to the Hokies being a slightly better team that simply have not been able to win the close games. Miami is back on the bubble which certainly helps avoid a possible letdown but that win over Duke has inflated this line and we are getting solid value on Virginia Tech. The Hokies have a few more opportunities for some quality wins and because of the Hurricanes win over Duke, this will now count as one as it would not have been one before. The underdog has covered six of the last eight meetings in this series as five of those have been decided within this number. 9* (737) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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NCAA-B | Feb 09, 2012 Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Louisiana-Lafayette |
Arkansas-Little Rock +6-105 at 5DIMES |
Won $100 |
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This is a big game in the Sun Belt Conference but the line is not telling us that. Arkansas-Little Rock leads the SBC West Division by a half-game over tonight's counterpart and that being the case, this line is off a few points in my opinion. The Trojans are riding a three-game winning streak thanks to three straight home wins and while they are just 4-8 overall on the road, they are 4-1 in conference road games. The two notable road losses came against Kentucky and Michigan St. Lafayette is riding a winning streak of its own as it has won its last four games including two at home and two on the road. The Cajuns are 9-2 at home this season which may be part of the reason this line is inflated as it is but the non-conference home schedule was against mostly inferior teams. They are 4-1 in SBC home games but taking a look at the last three victories shows they could be worse off right now as the last three home wins came by one points in overtime, two points and six points in overtime. This is another example of road revenge taking place as the Trojans were embarrassed at home by Lafayette by 19 points. It was their worst offensive game of the year as they shot just 25.4 percent from the floor including 11.1 percent from long range and their 49 points were close to a season low. Making this game even bigger for Arkansas-Little Rock is the fact that a win here puts it up by a game and a half and the season series would be a split so the Cajuns would have to overtake them. The Trojans are at Middle Tennessee St. on Saturday and that would normally make us think about a lookahead situation but that certainly won't happen here with everything going on. It actually makes the urgency of Thursday's game that much more. Arkansas-Little Rock has had fewer than 10 turnovers in each of its last three games which is a big streak coming onto this game. The Trojans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. 9* (723) Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans |
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NCAA-B | Feb 09, 2012 NC State vs. Georgia Tech |
NC State -3½-105 at 5DIMES |
Won $100 |
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Here we have a very good team, NC State, trying to get some road revenge on a very bad team, Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack lost at home last month by 11 points and it really was an inexcusable loss as they were riding a six-game winning streak and had just won their ACC opener over Maryland. NC State did bounce back with three straight wins and now sitting at 6-3 in the conference, it can ill afford to lose another ACC game against a non-quality opponent, especially this one. Georgia Tech is coming off a win on Saturday as it defeated Boston College by four points at home and the Eagles are one of two other teams with the same 2-7 conference record. That victory snapped a six-game losing streak for the Yellow Jackets but don't expect a winning streak to take place. We have to remember that Georgia Tech isn't even playing in an on-campus arena this year as a new one is being built and it is currently 1-5 at Philips Arena, which is the home to the Atlanta Hawks. Georgia Tech shot 51 percent from the floor in that first meeting against the Wolfpack and that was an aberration as it is shooting only 43.8 percent from the floor on the season. It is 7-0 this season when it has shot 50 percent from the floor so that victory was not that much of a surprised based on that. NC State is allowing opponents to shoot only 42.3 percent on the season so the Yellow Jackets outburst was an aberration on its own defense. The Wolfpack are allowing an even better 39.7 percent in road games. Keeping a normally low-scoring Georgia Tech team in check by guarding perimeter shooters better will be one of the priorities in the Wolfpack's only game during the week. They do not play again until next Thursday at Duke so that makes this game that much more important and should give no excuses for not putting out a full effort. The Yellow Jackets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win and they are only 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage greater than .600. 9* (709) NC State Wolfpack |
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NBA | Feb 09, 2012 Los Angeles Lakers vs. Boston Celtics |
Boston Celtics -3½-105 at 5DIMES |
Lost $105.0 |
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After the Lakers brought home the NBA title back in 2009-10, the Celtics went to Los Angeles in the first meeting last season and defeated the Lakers by 13 points. The Lakers then returned the favor in Boston by way of a six-point victory so last season the road team won both of the meetings. I think that changes this year starting off with this first meeting in Boston and a lot of that is simply based on the way Los Angeles have been playing on the road this season. The Lakers are only 3-9 away from home on the season with the wins being all narrow ones against Utah, Minnesota and Denver. We had the Lakers in that game against the Timberwolves as they were getting two points which is just a bucket less than what they are getting here. I feel that is undervaluing the Celtics which are back to relatively full strength with the return of Ray Allen and Rajon Rondo. Rondo is a big key in the success of Boston both past and future. Boston has won four straight games, all coming at home and while those wins came against some weak competition, that is negated by the fact that the Celtics have been home for the entire month and for a team that is near the top of the age group in the NBA, that is big benefit. The Celtics have spent the majority of their early season at home as two-thirds of their games have taken place there so they need to add to their 10-6 home record. It needs to be noted that Rondo has been out for the last two Boston home losses. Even though both teams are not playing to their potential, this is a big game as this rivalry is still strong and we have to give the big edge to the home team in this instance. The Lakers are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring 90 points or less two straight games and 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games against teams that are outscoring opponents by three or more ppg. They are also -9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog while Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite of five points or less. 10* (702) Boston Celtics |
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SERVICE BIO |
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| Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as �Mr. Analysis� as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
