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NC State at North Carolina Betting Lines

State rivals NC State and North Carolina square off this Saturday in ACC action.  NC State can still win out and be eligible for a bowl bid while North Carolina lost their chances at an ACC title with a loss to Maryland last week, but who can still finish out their season with a 9-3 mark and earn a spot in one of the bigger non-BCS bowls this season.  North Carolina has dominated the series 63-28 in their long history of playing each other, but the Wolfpack won by a score of 31-27 last season.  UNC is currently 5-1 at home, however, which should give them plenty of confidence against this 4-6 NC State squad.  North Carolina is an 11 point favorite against NC State this week with the total set at 46 points.

The Wolfpack have had their share of problems on the offensive side of the ball.  This unit is only averaging 20 points per game and just over 300 yards of total offense.  They’ll need more than that to get past North Carolina this week.  There is no go-to guy on the NC State offense and while their freshman QB, Russell Wilson is serviceable, he’s no game breaker.  This Wolfpack offense has been particularly bad on the road, averaging just 15 points per game and gaining a mere 286 yards per contest.

It doesn’t get that much better on the defensive side of the ball for NC State.  They give up just under 28 points per game on 405 yards of total offense per game.  Similar to the offense, there are no standout players on this side of the ball.  Against a potent North Carolina offense, NC State will need their best game of the year to avoid their seventh loss of the season.  The lack of a consistent defense is probably why NC State is an 11 point underdog at Carolina Saturday.

North Carolina is averaging a hefty 29 points per game on 323 yards of total offense.  Those numbers aren’t amazing, but they have been enough for the Tar Heels to earn 7 wins in 10 games so far this season.  The offense relies most heavily on the pass, but they still run up around 126 rushing yards per game.  They’ll need quarterback Cam Sexton to be consistent, which has been a problem for the starter as he is completing just 55.6 percent of his passes and has four interceptions to just nine touchdowns this year.

North Carolina’s defense is one of the better units in the conference, allowing just 18 points per game on 143 rushing and 205 passing yards per game.  The passing defense has been particularly impressive, allowing just 5.7 yards per pass attempt on average.  The Tar Heels aren’t incredible aggressive as they’ve managed just 15 sacks in 10 games this season, but they’ve taken the ball away from their opponents 25 times in those same 10 games, a major contributing factor to their success.

The Tar Heels have an edge playing on the home turn, but rivalry games like this one are usually up for grabs.  It will show a lot about the character of this North Carolina team if they can forget about losing a chance a the conference title last week and get focused enough to pick up the win at home this week.

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