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New Orleans Saints at St. Louis Rams NFL Lines & Predictions

Written by Jimmy Boyd on November 12, 2009

The 8-0 New Orleans Saints head to St. Louis to take on the 1-7 Rams in what looks to be one of the biggest mismatches of the week. But wins have not been coming quite as easy for the Saints the past few weeks. They had to rally from 14 points down to defeat division rival Carolina last Sunday. St. Louis will have some momentum on its side for the first time all season after defeating the Lions in its last game. It will also have the benefit of a bye week, home field, and a little history as well. St. Louis has won three of the last four meetings and owns a 38-30 lead in the all-time series. But NFL lines makers still aren’t giving the Rams much of a chance, listing the New Orleans Saints as a 13.5-point favorite with the total set at 50.

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The Saints are averaging an NFL-best 37.9 points per game, but not all of those points have been scored by their explosive offense. In fact, the Saints lead the NFL with seven defensive touchdowns this season. This opportunistic defense may be able to come up with another score this week against a Rams offense which has committed an NFL-worst five turnovers resulting in touchdowns.

Drew Brees gets most of the praise for the Saints. He’s been putting up big numbers ever since coming to New Orleans, but those numbers haven’t always resulted in wins. This year, New Orleans’ deep running back corps has taken the pressure off of Brees and it has made all the difference. Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell, and Reggie Bush make up a near-unstoppable combination of speed and power and they figure to be the key to keeping the Saints undefeated as they look to gash the Rams’ 27th ranked run defense Sunday. It is worth noting that the Saints are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. If you like New Orleans to keep right on rolling and to cover the number in the process, bet the Saints at -13.5 at BetUS.

With momentum, home field, and a bye week to prepare all on its side, St. Louis could not find itself in a much better position to pull off the shocker. Now, all the Rams have to do is put all these favorable factors to work Sunday. I think most all of you will agree that the chances of seeing New Orleans’ winning streak come to an end in St. Louis are pretty slim, but the Rams may be able to put together a performance solid enough to pick up the cover for backers.

The key to keeping this one within the number is Steven Jackson. Jackson has rushed for 784 yards on 4.8 yards per carry, just 216 yards shy of reaching 1,000 yards rushing for the fifth straight season. Those 784 yards are tied with Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson for the most in the NFC. Jackson is coming off a season-high 149-yard performance and he may be able to find some running room against New Orleans’ 19th ranked run defense which has given up big yards each of the last three weeks. If the Rams can control the clock with a strong ground game, they’ll keep New Orleans’ offense off the field to hang around in this one. It is worth noting that the Rams are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. If you like St. Louis to keep this one within the number, bet the Rams at +13.5 at BetUS.

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