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Triple Crown Predictions

After any horse wins the Kentucky Derby, we have to ask if they have a chance at winning the Triple Crown. We haven’t seen a Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978, but plenty have teased us over the last few years. What we know is that Street Sense looks like a champion, but then again, so did Silver Charm, Real Quiet, Charismatic, War Emblem, Smarty Jones, and Funny Cide. Will we be teased yet again or should we finally sense another Triple Crown winner with Street in 2007.

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Jimmy Boyd’s 2007 Preakness Stakes predictions won’t steer you wrong. Let’s have a look at what should have us hopeful for a Triple Crown winner this year.

There’s no doubt that Street Sense was the best horse in the Derby. His lengthy move from the back of the pack to the front showed his pure power. This has us glass half-full optimists thinking that if Street can shatter the field under the Derby’s tough conditions that he can have his way with the friendlier Preakness track.

On the other side of this, we have to take into account that the 2007 Kentucky Derby and the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile are Street’s biggest wins and they have both come at Churchill Downs. Hopefully he isn’t a one-course horse.

The thing that really makes me hopeful that he can arrive first at the Preakness is that there is a smaller field. He won’t have as many horse to navigate through if he does drop back early. But this also means more room for his competitors. This will help horses like Curlin and Hard Spun who don’t run their best races on physical tracks.

Perhaps, the biggest thing to worry about is the fresh horses coming in. Just last year, a fresh Bernardini swooped in and beat the talented returners in the Preakness. This year, I don’t see any Benardini’s however. The most notable of these fresh horses is Todd Pletcher’s King of the Roxy. If he wasn’t even able to make it into Pletcher’s top five at the Derby, we shouldn’t have to worry about him ruining the fun at the Preakness. Pletcher’s 0-for-26 Triple Crown record is also quite good news.

Street Sense left the Derby healthy as an ox which is not always the case. He has only ran in two prep races this season which should definitely be to his benefit.

Street’s trainer has only had one Derby winner (Unbridled in 1990) who went on to finish second at the Preakness. Most would say that this history isn’t in Street’s favor, but I would say otherwise. There’s no doubt that Street Sense has a better finishing kick than any Horse Carl Nafzger has ever had. History tells me that Nafzger will have his horse ready and the talented colt will take care of the rest. I’m pulling for Street at the Preakness.

May 11th, 2007